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IBM TryTracker predicts crucial breakdown tussle in opening Argentina Test

06 June 2013

Following the successful launch of the Rugby Football Union’s and IBM’s groundbreaking match analysis tool IBM TryTracker during the RBS 6 Nations, fans will again be able to take an in-depth look at the stats during England’s matchup against Ireland in Dublin on Sunday.

IBM’s Predictive Analytics software analyses historic and current rugby data provided by Opta, the world’s leading sports data provider, to provide valuable in-game stats. It gives viewers access to insights that will heighten their understanding of what to watch for in each game and explains what needs to be done to increase the likelihood of a team win against specific opponents.

The IBM TryTracker includes the ‘Keys to the Game’, which predict three crucial areas of performance specific to each team ahead of match day. If a side hits their target in these aspects of their game they will significantly increase their chances of victory. The data collected and provided by Opta for all England internationals is analysed by IBM, before being hosted on RFU.com.

England keys

  • Force more than 15 turnovers
  • Beat more than 11 defenders
  • Gain more than 4.5m per carry
Tom Wood

Photo: Getty Images

Scavenger supreme Matt Kvesic makes his Test debut on Saturday in Salta, and his work on the floor will be crucial to England’s chances to avenging their loss at the same venue in 2009. With TryTracker predicting 15 turnovers as a key to the series-opener, the Gloucester-bound openside can prove himself a genuine match-winner at the earliest possible opportunity.

Skipper Tom Wood can lend able support on the opposite flank, while Ben Morgan – the final member of an exciting back-row trio – should boost the tourists’ chances of averaging 4.5 metres per carry. Electric London Wasp Christian Wade is the other man making his full international bow. If he translates domestic form to the biggest stage, the target of 11 beaten defenders is well within England’s grasp.

Argentina keys 

  • Succeed with more than 92% of tackles
  • Win more than 87% of lineouts on own throw
  • Achieve more than 4 line breaks

Argentina coach Santiago Phelan has entrusted a somewhat experimental squad to this two-Test assignment as his more recognisable names rest ahead of the Rugby Championship. However, he will still demand that the basics are done well.

A hallmark of the Pumas’ dogged, industrious style over the years has been immense work-rate and set-piece accuracy. With 92% tackle completion and 87% lineout success outlined as pivotal by TryTracker, the hosts will be aiming to emulate their more established compatriots. Mere solidity will not be enough, though, and some midfield magic from captain Felipe Contepomi may be needed to reach the required four line-breaks.