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IBM TryTracker pits exciting England attack against dogged Pumas defence

14 June 2013

  • IBM TryTracker will give in-depth analysis of Argentina vs. England
  • "Keys to the Game" pit exciting England attack against dogged Argentinean defence

IBM TryTracker suggested Argentina would need a solid set-piece to trouble England in Salta, so, after the Pumas lineout went horribly awry, it was no suprise that the tourists romped to a convincing win.

IBM’s Predictive Analytics software analyses historic and current rugby data provided by Opta, the world’s leading sports data provider, to provide valuable in-game stats. It gives viewers access to insights that will heighten their understanding of what to watch for in each game and explains what needs to be done to increase the likelihood of a team win against specific opponents.

The IBM TryTracker includes the ‘Keys to the Game’, which predict three crucial areas of performance specific to each team ahead of match day. If a side hits their target in these aspects of their game they will significantly increase their chances of victory. The data collected and provided by Opta for all England internationals is analysed by IBM, before being hosted on RFU.com.

England keys

  • Force more than 15 turnovers
  • Beat more than 11 defenders
  • Gain more than 4.5m per carry
Tom Wood

Photo: Getty Images

Matt Kvesic marked an exceptional Test debut with 29 tackles last Saturday in Salta, but his work at the breakdown  will be crucial to England’s chances clinching a historic clean-sweep over Argentina. TryTracker predicts 15 turnovers as a key to the series finale, but Stuart Lancaster's charges must be more disciplined as well.

Tom Wood has a big part to play in that area, while Ben Morgan – the final member the back-row trio – should boost the tourists’ chances of averaging 4.5 metres per carry if he hits the heights of last weekend. Finally, Marland Yarde comes into the side on the left wing in place of David Strettle for a maiden cap. If he translates domestic form to the biggest stage, the target of 11 beaten defenders is well within England’s grasp.

Argentina keys 

  • Succeed with more than 92% of tackles
  • Win more than 87% of lineouts on own throw
  • Achieve more than 4 line breaks

After a disastous first-half at the Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Argentina coach Santiago Phelan will demand that the Pumas are more sturdy in defence. Kyle Eastmond and co. must be shackled in midfield for them to get close – 92% the required tackle success rate.

Moving Felipe Contepomi to fly half could be instrumental in reaching four line-breaks, but all eyes will be on the lineout. With another return of 50%, Argentina do not have a prayer.